Tag: Polls and Public Opinion

Fake Polls and Tabloid Coverage on Demand: The Dark Side of Sebastian Kurz

VIENNA — It seemed like a miracle. For years, Austria’s conservative party had languished far behind its rivals. Then in May 2017, the polls spectacularly reversed, giving the conservatives newfound credibility that helped them convince voters that they had a real chance of winning. Five months later, in elections, they did. The man credited with […]

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South Korea Reconsiders a Rite of Manhood: The Draft

SEOUL — Kim Hyeongsu performed poorly on his rifle qualification test for the South Korean Army, to the point where he was berated for squandering the government’s bullets. An officer ordered him to do a plank while yelling repeatedly, “I am a tax waster!” In basic training in 2011, Mr. Kim said, other military trainees […]

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Where Biden Is Most Vulnerable

There are political and civic virtues aplenty in centrism, including its pushback against extreme partisanship and its promise of a less vicious and perpetual seesaw. But there’s also literary virtue in Ryan Cooper’s description, in The Week, of a certain vague, noncommittal type of it, which he locates in Kyrsten Sinema: “This is political ‘centrism’ […]

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Democrats Can’t Just Give the People What They Want

3. How should a Democrat respond to questions concerning intergenerational poverty, nonmarital births and the issue of fatherlessness? In an email, Teixeira addressed affirmative action: Affirmative action in the sense of, say, racial preferences has always been unpopular and continues to be so. The latest evidence comes from the deep blue state of California which […]

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Does the Democratic Party Have a Future?

This article is part of the Debatable newsletter. You can sign up here to receive it on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Last week my colleague Ezra Klein wrote an extended column on the work and political thought of David Shor, a pollster and progressive consultant who, according to Politico, has “an audience in the White House […]

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How Éric Zemmour Is Turning French Politics Upside Down

PARIS — He is the anti-immigration son of parents from Algeria. He styles himself as the great defender of France’s Christian civilization, though he himself is Jewish. He channels Donald J. Trump in an anti-establishment campaign. And he is now scrambling the battle lines before France’s presidential election in April. The meteoric rise of Éric […]

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N.Y. Governor Poll Shows Hochul Leading James and Williams

Indeed, the Marist Institute for Public Opinion poll found that she is already enjoying the benefits of incumbency: Fifty-five percent of New Yorkers said they had a favorable view of Ms. Hochul, while 32 percent said they had an unfavorable impression. Her favorability rating was 70 percent among Democrats and 26 percent among Republicans. Mr. […]

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How Democrats Can Save Themselves

You will note that this banal-seeming wisdom is not an ideological litmus test: Where left-wing ideas are popular, Shor Thought would have Democrats talk about them more. But where they are unpopular, especially with the kind of voters who hold the key to contested Senate races, Democrats need a way to defuse them or hold […]

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The Democrats Are in Danger of a Midterm Rout

The Democrats are staring down real danger. They just aren’t getting enough done. They aren’t moving quickly enough on President Biden’s major campaign promises. The warning signs are all around. Democrats are still wrangling over their infrastructure and social spending bills. And the longer the fight drags on, the uglier it looks. Washington watchers are […]

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David Shor Is Telling Democrats What They Don’t Want to Hear

I want to stop here and say I believe, as does Shor, that educational polarization is serving here as a crude measure of class polarization. We tend to think of class as driven by income, but in terms of how it’s formed and practiced in America right now, education tracks facets that paychecks miss. A […]

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The Supreme Court’s Pain — and Our Anger

Justice Amy Coney Barrett, speaking not at Notre Dame, where she taught law for 15 years before becoming a federal appeals court judge, but at the University of Louisville, told her audience last month that “my goal today is to convince you that the court is not comprised of a bunch of partisan hacks.” Media […]

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Trump True Believers Have Their Reasons

In his email, Womick expanded on his work: “The idea is that perceptions of insignificance can drive a process of seeking out groups, endorsing their ideologies and engaging in behaviors consistent with these.” These ideologies, Womick continued, should eventually promote a sense of significance (as insignificance is what drove the person to endorse the ideology […]

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Biden and the Democratic Standoff Over Spending Bills

To the Editor: Re “Hitting Blockade Over His Agenda, Biden Tacks Left” (front page, Oct. 3): After reading this article, one might be forgiven for concluding that a small number of leftists have taken President Biden hostage and are imperiling his presidency. The facts suggest otherwise. Almost two-thirds of Americans, 61 percent of independents and […]

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Do Germany’s Election Results Signal a Left Turn for Europe?

Sunday’s election in Germany ended in victory for the country’s Social Democratic Party and its candidate, Olaf Scholz. It was a remarkable comeback for a center-left party, which like many of its counterparts across Europe has been bleeding support at the ballot box for the past decade or more. So the question immediately arises whether […]

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