by Calculated Risk on 1/16/2021 07:11:00 PM
The US is now averaging close to 2 million tests per day. Based on the experience of other countries, for adequate test-and-trace (and isolation) to reduce infections, the percent positive needs to be under 5% (probably close to 1%), so the US has far too many daily cases – and percent positive – to do effective test-and-trace.
There were 2,015,414 test results reported over the last 24 hours.
There were 215,449 positive tests.
Over 50,000 US deaths have been reported so far in January. See the graph on US Daily Deaths here.
This data is from the COVID Tracking Project.
The percent positive over the last 24 hours was 10.7% (red line is 7 day average). The percent positive is calculated by dividing positive results by total tests (including pending).
And check out COVID Act Now to see how each state is doing. (updated link to new site)
It is possible cases and hospitalizations have peaked, but are still at a very high level.