Tag: Voting and Voters

Economic Anxiety Among Voters Is a Sign of Vulnerability for Trump

Americans’ confidence in the economy is fragile, with a majority of voters expressing concern — a potential vulnerability for President Trump if the current economic slowdown worsens before next year’s election. The stock market tumbled last week after bond prices flashed a signal that has historically been a predictor of recessions. Stocks later rebounded, but […]

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Jill Biden, Stressing Trump Matchup, Makes a Blunt Case for Her Husband

Jill Biden laid out the political calculus of her husband’s presidential campaign in extraordinarily blunt terms on Monday, directly acknowledging that some voters may prefer other candidates but urging them to support Joseph R. Biden Jr. anyway, in an effort to defeat President Trump. As Mr. Biden, the early poll leader, works — and sometimes […]

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Does Anyone Know What Electability Is?

What do Democrats say in poll after poll that they want in a 2020 presidential candidate? Someone who can beat Donald Trump. In the abstract, that makes plenty of sense. The only problems? No one really knows what voters will do in the primaries. And there’s simply no good way to know which candidate will […]

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Many Democrats Love Elizabeth Warren. They Also Worry About Her.

COUNCIL BLUFFS, Iowa — Senator Elizabeth Warren has built the most formidable campaign organization of any Democratic presidential candidate in the first nominating states, raised an impressive $25 million without holding high-dollar fund-raisers, and has risen steadily in Iowa and New Hampshire polls. Few candidates inspire as much enthusiasm as she does among party voters, […]

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The Pundit-Defying Idiosyncrasies of Iowa Voters

On Friday, Julie Allen, a 62-year-old Medicaid consultant, took time off work to sit in the scorching sun at a midday, open-air rally for Joe Biden in Boone, Iowa. In 2016, she told me, she was “all in” for Bernie Sanders, but she now feels “he’s past his time,” and as she considers her choices […]

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On Guns, Public Opinion and Public Policy Often Diverge

Polls show that public support for tighter guns laws is rising. Alone, that doesn’t mean Congress is going to expand gun control anytime soon. Public opinion and public policy on guns have seemed to be at odds for decades. Measures like universal background checks often attract the support of more than 90 percent of the […]

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Let the People (of Florida) Vote

This article is part of David Leonhardt’s newsletter. You can sign up here to receive it each weekday. Winning civil rights is never easy. The fight can stretch on for decades and include setbacks that feel like utter defeat. An enduring lesson of the civil rights movement of the mid-20th century is the need for […]

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Don’t Assume Trump’s Approval Rating Can’t Climb Higher. It Already Has.

Donald J. Trump doesn’t always seem like a candidate focused on expanding his base of support. He may have done so anyway. The share of Americans who say they have a favorable view of him has increased significantly since the 2016 election. And over the last few months, some of the highest-quality public opinion polls, […]

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Trump Fuels Racial Disharmony. Will It Motivate or Discourage Black Voters?

DETROIT — Mark Greer is a black Detroiter so outraged by President Trump’s regular stream of invective toward people of color that he does his best to avoid exposure to him. So when he clicked on a YouTube link last month to watch an episode of “The Breakfast Club,” a morning radio show popular with […]

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Boris Johnson’s Majority Falls to One Seat, Heightening Chances of an Election

LONDON — Boris Johnson has been British prime minister for barely a week, and the honeymoon appears to be over. His Conservative Party lost a special election, cutting his working majority in Parliament to just one seat at a critical moment for the country. The narrow defeat in a previously Conservative-held district, the Brecon and […]

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What Beto Gets Right

This article is part of David Leonhardt’s newsletter. You can sign up here to receive it each weekday. I’ve been pretty tough on Beto O’Rourke’s presidential campaign so far. A lot of other journalists have too. But campaigns are longer and more fluid than we journalists often acknowledge. And this week’s debates made me realize […]

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How the Democratic Debates Narrow the Field

Listen and subscribe to our podcast from your mobile device: Via Apple Podcasts | Via RadioPublic | Via Stitcher Twenty Democratic presidential candidates have appeared on the debate stage for the last time. That’s in part because the Democratic National Committee has introduced a set of rules explicitly designed to narrow the field. We look […]

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Why Not Cory Booker?

If you were cooking up a candidate in a lab to take on Donald Trump, you might come up with someone a lot like Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey. (Well, except for the unmarried vegan part.) Like Pete Buttigieg, Booker was a Rhodes scholar and the dynamic mayor of a city afflicted by industrial […]

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In Wisconsin Swing District, a Range of Views on Immigration

RACINE, Wis. — In this old manufacturing city that supported Hillary Clinton in 2016, dislike for President Trump runs wide and deep. Images of crying children at the Mexican border typically serve as Exhibit A on the list of grievances that Democratic voters cite against the president. Many of those same voters also express strong […]

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Five Debate Takeaways

This article is part of David Leonhardt’s newsletter. You can sign up here to receive it each weekday. A few takeaways from last night’s debate: I thought Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Steve Bullock did the most effective jobs of delivering their messages (which isn’t to say I agreed with everything they said). You can […]

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What I’ll Be Looking for Tonight

This article is part of David Leonhardt’s newsletter. You can sign up here to receive it each weekday. The second round of Democratic primary debates begins tonight in Detroit, followed by another debate on the same stage Wednesday night. Most analysts expect confrontation, because these are the last debates before the standards for qualifying get […]

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A Plan to End Partisan Gerrymandering

Listen and subscribe to our podcast from your mobile device: Via Apple Podcasts | Via RadioPublic | Via Stitcher The Supreme Court ruled last month that federal courts cannot rule on cases of partisan gerrymandering, saying that judges are not entitled to second-guess the decisions made by state legislators who draw voting maps. We spoke […]

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‘Send Her Back’: White Voters and Trump’s Path to Re-election

Listen and subscribe to our podcast from your mobile device: Via Apple Podcasts | Via RadioPublic | Via Stitcher The majority of Americans disapprove of President Trump. But Democrats will still have a hard time defeating him. Here’s why. [For an exclusive look at how the biggest stories on “The Daily” podcast come together, subscribe […]

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The Risks of Radical Renewal in Ukraine

KIEV, Ukraine — Voters across the country took another leap of faith on Sunday, handing yet more power to their new and untested leader. In April, the former comedian Volodymyr Zelensky went from playing an accidental president on television to unexpectedly becoming the country’s real-life president. In this weekend’s parliamentary elections, he led his party […]

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How Democrats Defeat Donald Trump

Surprise, surprise: Donald Trump has no bottom. Just when you think he has sunk as low as he can, he stages a rally like that atrocity in North Carolina on Wednesday night and sinks lower. But the key takeaway isn’t that he’s a demagogue or a racist: These were facts put into evidence long ago. […]

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