Tag: Polls and Public Opinion

Meta. Salesforce. Silicon Valley Bank. Is Working from Home Really Working?

Quiet quitting. Working from home. The Great Resignation. Whatever you want to call it, the attitude of many Americans toward work appears to have changed during the long pandemic — and, generally speaking, not for the better. This new approach threatens to do long-lasting damage to economic growth and prosperity. Until Covid, most employed Americans […]

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What We Missed About Trump’s First Great Victory

The authors combine these questions into a “scale capturing the strength of white identity and found that it was strongly related to Republicans’ support for Donald Trump.” Strongly related is an understatement. On a 17-point scale ranking the strength of Republican primary voters’ white identity from lowest to highest, support for Trump grew consistently at […]

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The Politics of a Trump Indictment

If you intend to indict and try a former president of the United States, especially a former president of the United States whose career has benefited from the collapse of public trust in the neutrality of all our institutions, you had better have clear evidence, all-but-obvious guilt and loads of legal precedent behind your case. […]

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Macron Appears Ready to Tough Out France’s Pension Crisis

PARIS — President Emmanuel Macron’s re-election program last year was short on detail. His mind seemed elsewhere, chiefly on the war in Ukraine. But on one thing he was clear: He would raise the retirement age in France to 65 from 62. “You will have to work progressively more,” he said during a debate in […]

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A Rough Guide of the Electoral Fallout if Trump Is Indicted

A lot of people believe I make political predictions, but that’s not really true. Instead, I try to marshal history, data, polling, reporting and more to help make sense of the political landscape. It usually amounts to one of those old, yellowish, distorted maps from the age of exploration. It offers only a rough guide […]

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Inside the 3 Months That Could Cost Fox $1.6 Billion

Since 2002, when Fox News first overtook CNN as the most-watched cable news channel, one thing has been as certain and predictable as its dominance: Every time a Democrat wins the White House, the right-leaning network’s ratings take a momentary dip. That happened after the election of President Biden in 2020, too. But the reaction […]

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DeSantis, on Defense, Shows Signs of Slipping in Polls

It’s been a tough few months for Ron DeSantis. Donald J. Trump and his allies have blasted him as “Meatball Ron,” “Ron DeSanctimonious,” a “groomer,” disloyal and a supporter of cutting entitlement programs. Now, he’s getting criticism from many mainstream conservatives for calling Russia’s invasion of Ukraine a “territorial dispute.” Is all of this making […]

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Walgreens Is Caught in the Cross-Fire of the Abortion Wars

Caught in the heaviest crossfire are companies like Walgreens that can distribute abortion medication. In February nearly two dozen Republican attorneys general, some representing states where abortion remains effectively legal, threatened Walgreens with legal action if it began distributing the drug. The argument by the attorneys general relies on the federal Comstock Act passed in […]

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Trump and DeSantis Could Both Lose

There are two different narratives running through the Republican Party right now. The first is the Trumpian populist narrative we’re all familiar with: American carnage … the elites have betrayed us … the left is destroying us … I am your retribution. On the other hand, Republican governors from places like Georgia, Virginia and New […]

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In Iowa, Kamala Harris Says Republicans Won’t Stop at Abortion

DES MOINES — Vice President Kamala Harris said on Thursday that a lawsuit seeking to overturn federal approval of a widely used abortion pill amounted to an attack on “our public health system as a whole.” During her first trip to Iowa as vice president, Ms. Harris portrayed Republican attempts to impose a nationwide ban […]

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Prigozhin, Head of Wagner, Plots Political Advance in Russia

For months, Yevgeny Prigozhin has been Russia’s most public and provocative military leader in Ukraine. When he is not lauding the heroics of his private fighting force from the front lines, he is castigating the Russian generals for starving him of the supplies he needs to finish the work they could not. Yet now, as […]

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Macron Faces Pivotal Week in His Attempt to Change France at Its Core

A favorite phrase of Emmanuel Macron, the French president, is that in life “you have to take your risks.” He did, and rose from nowhere to lead France at the age of 39. Now, six years later, he has decided to risk his political future on reshaping France at the very point where it is […]

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Why Fox’s Call on Arizona, Which Was Right, Was Still Wrong

Through a Fox News spokesperson, Mr. Mishkin said he “misspoke on election night” when he said Fox expected Mr. Biden to win the remaining vote. If Mr. Mishkin did misspeak, there was still no indication that the Fox team expected Mr. Trump to win the remaining votes by a meaningful margin — let alone an […]

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Is Nuclear Arms Control Just a Fantasy?

Yet even the sharply reduced Russian and American nuclear arsenals are still enough to wipe out much of the world, China is pushing hard to become the third nuclear superpower, and at least six other countries, including the uber-dictatorship North Korea, have nuclear weapons (the others: Britain, France, Israel, India and Pakistan). Perversely, the complexity […]

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Will This Earthquake Be Erdogan’s Undoing?

ADIYAMAN, Turkey — Beneath each fresh mound in this rapidly expanding graveyard lies a tragedy. One morning at dawn, Zeki Karababa told me about his. Karababa’s brother, Hamit; Hamit’s wife, Fatma; and two children, Ahmet, 10, and Evra, 3, had been crushed when their apartment building crumbled in the earthquake. But that was just the […]

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France’s Fight Over Retirement Is a Question of Identity

Monday is line dancing; Tuesday scrapbooking with friends; Wednesday caring for her two grandchildren. Martine Mirville’s itinerary is an advertisement for retirement in France. After decades of working, much of it as a secretary, she packed up her desk for the last time, bought an apartment in this seaside town in Normandy where her daughter […]

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Ron DeSantis’s Rise From Unknown to Heir Apparent

Patricia Mazzei contributed reporting.Fact-checking by Susan Lee.Special thanks to Diane Wong and Dan Powell. The Daily is made by Lisa Tobin, Rachel Quester, Lynsea Garrison, Clare Toeniskoetter, Paige Cowett, Michael Simon Johnson, Brad Fisher, Chris Wood, Jessica Cheung, Stella Tan, Alexandra Leigh Young, Lisa Chow, Eric Krupke, Marc Georges, Luke Vander Ploeg, M.J. Davis Lin, […]

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Unions Vow to Bring France to a ‘Standstill’ Over Macron’s Pension Plan

PARIS — Idle trains, closed ports, empty schools, canceled flights, uncollected trash, shuttered refineries. That is what France was bracing for on Tuesday as labor unions vowed to bring the country “to a standstill” and send more than a million people into the streets to protest President Emmanuel Macron’s plans to raise the legal age […]

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Five Women Sue Texas Over the State’s Abortion Ban

Ms. Zurawski became pregnant in early 2022 after 18 months of fertility treatments. In her 17th week of pregnancy, and the day after she made the guest list for her baby shower, a scan found that her cervical membranes had begun to prolapse. Specialists told her that her fetus, which she had begun thinking of […]

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In West Bank, New Armed Groups Emerge, and Dormant Ones Stir

After a violent uprising by Palestinians against Israel subsided nearly two decades ago, Abu Abdallah, then a leader of a Palestinian militia, stashed away his assault rifle and later became a civil servant in the West Bank city of Nablus. When Israeli troops raided Nablus late last month, Abu Abdallah, now 42, lent that rifle […]

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Biden Challenged by Softening Public Support for Arming Ukraine

WASHINGTON — When he made his surprise wartime trip to the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv last week, President Biden reassured that country with great confidence that “the Americans stand with you.” But the question that remains unanswered is: For how long? For all of the president’s bravado while he was abroad, the politics of Ukraine […]

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Reader Mailbag: Bots and Other Business

And in the high-profile statewide contests — think Senate races in Pennsylvania and Arizona — the Democratic candidates fared even better among independent voters than that, allowing Democrats to win marquee races by unusually wide margins. Black turnout before Obama On a related midterm note, we observed that the Black share of the electorate was […]

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Más de 100.000 personas marchan en México contra el Plan B

CIUDAD DE MÉXICO — Más de 100.000 personas salieron a las calles de México el domingo para protestar las leyes recién aprobadas que restringen al instituto electoral del país, en lo que los manifestantes dijeron era un repudio a los esfuerzos del presidente de debilitar a un pilar de la democracia. Vestidos en varios tonos […]

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Large Crowds Across Mexico Protest Overhaul of Election Watchdog

More than 100,000 took to the streets of Mexico on Sunday to protest new laws hobbling the nation’s election agency, in what demonstrators said was a repudiation of the president’s efforts to weaken a pillar of democracy. Wearing shades of pink, the official color of the electoral watchdog that helped end one-party rule two decades […]

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The Wisdom and Prophecy of Jimmy Carter’s ‘Malaise’ Speech

Then there was this gut-punch paragraph: We were sure that ours was a nation of the ballot, not the bullet, until the murders of John Kennedy and Robert Kennedy and Martin Luther King Jr. We were taught that our armies were always invincible and our causes were always just, only to suffer the agony of […]

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The Forces Tearing Us Apart Are Not Quite What They Seem

The increase in loyalty among white Democratic identifiers, he continues, “is due largely to their increased liberalism because defections” to the right “among white Democrats” have been heavily concentrated among those with relatively conservative ideological orientations. This increased loyalty has also been apparent in other types of elections, including those for U.S. Senate and House […]

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Wait, the Campaign Is Halfway Done?

Last week, I wrote that Ron DeSantis is no Scott Walker, in no small part because Mr. DeSantis already has impressive strength in the polls. But it’s fair to wonder whether we should really care about that at this early stage. After all, there’s still nearly a year until the primary season begins in earnest. […]

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Biden Drawing Up a 2024 Playbook That Looks a Lot Like 2020’s

WASHINGTON — Forget the Wilmington basement. This time he will have a Rose Garden. And Air Force One and a big white mansion and all the other advantages of incumbency in a year when he is not forced by a pandemic to stick to streaming from downstairs. But as President Biden prepares to run for […]

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America Can’t Go ‘Wobbly’ on Ukraine

As we approach the first anniversary of Russia’s brutal and unprovoked invasion of Ukraine, two ominous trends are emerging at once. First, Russia is doubling down. It’s pouring fresh troops into Ukraine and launching new offensive operations. Second, poll after poll after poll demonstrate that American support for Ukraine is slipping away. While Americans have […]

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America Should Be in the Middle of a Schools Revolution

“The coronavirus caused by far the biggest disruption in the history of American education,” Meira Levinson and Daniel Markovits wrote in The Atlantic last year. Things have not reverted back to normal as Covid has gradually lost its grip on American life. Today’s teachers and students are living with a set of altered realities, and […]

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