Tag: Polls and Public Opinion

Does Elizabeth Warren Have a Critical Vulnerability?

ORLEANS, Mass. — I have voted two times for Elizabeth Warren to represent Massachusetts in the Senate. I would certainly vote for her for president over Donald Trump. But as the Democratic primary unfolds and she extends a steady rise in the polls, I keep coming back to a political vulnerability of which many followers […]

Read More

How Kamala Harris Can Make a Comeback

The most effective presidential candidates are able both to energize their base and persuade the political middle. Barack Obama, Ronald Reagan and F.D.R. all did so. They managed to seem exciting to their party and yet also comfortable for swing voters. Senator Kamala Harris has the potential to pull off this trick. Her confrontational criticism […]

Read More

Zingers, Groaners and a Trump Pile-On: ‘That’s Called the Democratic Primary’

Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. jammed his finger skyward, eyes narrowing like his polling advantage, accusing the “socialist” to his right, Senator Bernie Sanders, and the “distinguished friend” to his left, Senator Elizabeth Warren, of hawking infeasible health care proposals loaded with dubious math. Mr. Sanders, raspier than usual but no gentler on […]

Read More

Netanyahu Accuses Rivals of Plotting to ‘Steal’ Israeli Election

JERUSALEM — Fighting for his political life, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel on Monday accused opponents of trying to “steal” next week’s election and urged supporters to thwart them en masse. The high-pitched rallying cry came after his conservative Likud Party failed to speed a contentious bill through Parliament that would have allowed party […]

Read More

Democrats Need to Get More Ruthless

How important do Democrats think it is to beat President Trump in 2020? Obviously, most Democrats would say it’s vitally important. Four more years of the Trump presidency could allow him to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the Supreme Court. It would worsen the climate crisis. It could cement his paranoid racism and scorn for […]

Read More

Presidential Candidates Flock to New Hampshire Democratic Party Convention

Image<img alt="Supporters of Democratic presidential hopefuls atthe New Hampshire Democratic Party State Convention, in Manchester, N.H.” class=”css-1m50asq” src=”https://static01.nyt.com/images/2019/09/08/us/08dems-print1-sub/merlin_160348857_2c55decc-c290-4a32-bcf6-4d82c7425f10-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale” srcset=”https://static01.nyt.com/images/2019/09/08/us/08dems-print1-sub/merlin_160348857_2c55decc-c290-4a32-bcf6-4d82c7425f10-articleLarge.jpg?quality=90&auto=webp 600w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2019/09/08/us/08dems-print1-sub/merlin_160348857_2c55decc-c290-4a32-bcf6-4d82c7425f10-jumbo.jpg?quality=90&auto=webp 1024w,https://static01.nyt.com/images/2019/09/08/us/08dems-print1-sub/merlin_160348857_2c55decc-c290-4a32-bcf6-4d82c7425f10-superJumbo.jpg?quality=90&auto=webp 2048w” sizes=”((min-width: 600px) and (max-width: 1004px)) 84vw, (min-width: 1005px) 60vw, 100vw” itemprop=”url” itemid=”https://static01.nyt.com/images/2019/09/08/us/08dems-print1-sub/merlin_160348857_2c55decc-c290-4a32-bcf6-4d82c7425f10-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale”>Supporters of Democratic presidential hopefuls atthe New Hampshire Democratic Party State Convention, in Manchester, N.H.CreditElizabeth Frantz for The New York Times MANCHESTER, […]

Read More

Trump Aides’ Poll Finds Gun Control Politically Problematic for the President

President Trump assured Senator Joe Manchin III, Democrat of West Virginia, on Thursday that he was still considering legislation that could include background checks for gun buyers. But White House aides said they had polling data showing that gun control was politically problematic for the president, according to two people briefed on the meeting. Inside […]

Read More

Dare We Dream of the End of the G.O.P.?

Toward the end of his new book, “R.I.P. G.O.P.,” the renowned Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg makes a thrilling prediction, delivered with the certainty of prophecy. “The year 2020 will produce a second blue wave on at least the scale of the first in 2018 and finally will crash and shatter the Republican Party that was […]

Read More

Low-Polling Democrats Soldier On

CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa — Dozens of reporters and photographers descended on the Hawkeye Downs speedway, all waiting for one man to appear at a local Labor Day picnic. That man was not Michael Bennet. “We’re having a great Labor Day in Iowa,” said Mr. Bennet, the Colorado senator and still a presidential candidate, showing up […]

Read More

Does America Care About Care? Not Enough

First of three articles. Caretaking occupies a paradoxical place in the American mind. On the one hand, we cast caretaking for babies and children as a sacred duty of the private sphere. We lionize the bonds between parents and their children in movies, songs and storybooks. We romanticize the kinds of wisdom that are passed […]

Read More

Does Joe Biden Want to Be Doing This?

“How badly do you want to be president?” Joseph R. Biden Jr. was asked after a recent speech in Prole, Iowa. The answer to such an inquiry would appear self-evident in the case of Mr. Biden, who began his running-for-president routine more than three decades ago; in other words, very badly, one would assume. But […]

Read More

Kirsten Gillibrand Exits and a One-Night Debate: This Week in the 2020 Race

Happy Saturday! Here’s our weekly catch-up on the 2020 presidential campaign and the Democratic field. Gillibrand is out, and we’re down to 20 Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, who was seen by some as a major presidential prospect before the race began but never quite got a foothold in the polls, ended her campaign […]

Read More

It’s Official: September Democratic Debate Will Be One Night Only

After two rounds of back-to-back debate nights over the summer, the next Democratic presidential debate will be a one-day affair. Candidates had until 11:59 p.m. on Wednesday to meet the Democratic National Committee’s qualification requirements: amassing 130,000 individual donors and receiving 2 percent support in at least four qualifying polls. Even after two new polls […]

Read More

What if There’s a Better Way to Handle Our Democratic Debate?

ImageCreditJordan Awan Our presidential race is a poll-driven battle of teams managing superficial impressions. The public’s responses to horse race polls are based on little more than vague ideas of what the candidates are saying. When these polls surprise (like one — an outlier, to be sure — from Monmouth University released this week showing a […]

Read More

Democratic Candidates Jostle, and Gripe, as Debates Winnow the Field

WASHINGTON — The suspense was high. The hour was late. The questions about the next Democratic debate were many: Ten candidates or 11? Two nights or one? One billionaire or none? A debate qualifying process that was equal parts spectacle and grievance session ticked toward a midnight deadline on Wednesday with one thing certain: The […]

Read More

Polling Picture Comes Into Focus: Biden Leads a 3-Way Race at the Top

New polls published on Wednesday show Joseph R. Biden Jr. with a significant national lead in the Democratic presidential race as the contest heads into the intense fall campaign season, with Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders rounding out a threesome that seems to have separated from the rest of the primary field. The new […]

Read More

We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is

On Feb. 24, 2016, after winning the Nevada caucuses, Donald Trump told supporters in Las Vegas, “I love the poorly educated.” Technically, he should have said “I love poorly educated white people,” but his point was well taken. We have been talking about this since Trump came down that escalator four years ago, but we […]

Read More

Biden Extols His Black Support: ‘I Think They Know Me’

WASHINGTON — Joseph R. Biden Jr. on Tuesday pressed his case that he is the “most electable” Democratic presidential nominee, saying that while his primary rivals may draw large crowds in urban centers or excite young progressives, he retains the most racially diverse coalition of supporters. The argument, bolstered by Mr. Biden’s strong poll numbers […]

Read More

New 2020 Poll Shows Three-Way Tie Among Sanders, Warren and Biden

A new national poll suggests that the race for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination may be tightening, with a virtual three-way tie among former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and two more progressive rivals, Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Despite the dead heat — Mr. Sanders and Ms. Warren each with 20 percent […]

Read More