Tag: Polls and Public Opinion

Think QAnon Is on the Fringe? So Was the Tea Party

Democrats dismissed it as a fringe group of conspiracy-minded zealots. Moderate Republicans fretted over its potential to hurt their party’s image, while more conservative lawmakers carefully sought to harness its grass roots energy. Sympathetic media outlets covered its rallies, portraying it as an emerging strain of populist politics — a protest movement born of frustration […]

Read More

For Belarus Leader, a Fading Aura of Invincibility

MOSCOW — The autocratic leader of Belarus, never a stickler for accurate vote counting, boasted early in his 26-year rule that he was so popular that he had to falsify his share of the vote because the original number — 93.5 percent — was too implausibly high. He said he made it 86 percent instead. […]

Read More

Confidence in Police Is at Record Low, Gallup Survey Finds

Amid waves of civil unrest as protesters across the country continue to demonstrate against police brutality, Americans’ confidence in the police has dropped to a record low, according to a Gallup poll released on Wednesday. The survey, conducted by Gallup from early June to mid-July, found that confidence in the police had fallen five points, […]

Read More

Advisers Consider Whether Trump Can Cut Taxes Without Congress

WASHINGTON — White House officials have explored whether President Trump has the power to sidestep Congress and unilaterally cut a broad swath of taxes as the president looks for ways to inject fuel into a slumping economy, according to a senior administration official. While such a move is not imminent, Mr. Trump’s advisers have sought […]

Read More

How to Foil Trump’s Election Night Strategy

There’s no mystery about what President Trump intends to do if he holds a lead on election night in November. He’s practically broadcasting it. First, he’ll claim victory. Then, having spent most of the year denouncing vote-by-mail as corrupt, fraudulent and prone to abuse, he’ll demand that authorities stop counting mail-in and absentee ballots. He’ll […]

Read More

In the Wake of Protests

We are in a period of post-mortem reflection following the time during which racial justice protests were at their most intense. We now must ask ourselves: What has changed and what hasn’t? Have power and privilege truly been disrupted? Has oppression been alleviated? What will be the legacy of this moment? The historic protests in […]

Read More

He Predicted Trump’s Win in 2016. Now He’s Ready to Call 2020.

This is professor Allan Lichtman. He’s taught history at American University for almost 50 years. He’s a former steeplechase champion. “It’s a race designed for horses but run by people.” “Tic-Tac-Dough.” And a former quiz show winner. “I had a 16-show winning streak. Won four cars.” But we’re not here to talk about any of […]

Read More

Trump, Facing Headwinds in Ohio, Talks Up Economy in Campaign Swing

President Trump traveled Thursday to the crucial battleground of Ohio, hoping to highlight efforts to bolster the economy after the damage done by the spread of the coronavirus and to announce new executive orders to make drug prices more affordable. But he could not escape the reality of the landscape he is facing: Before Mr. […]

Read More

Allan Lichtman Predicted Trump’s Win in 2016. Now He’s Ready to Call 2020.

Video by Nayeema Raza and Kristopher Knight Video transcript Back transcript He Predicted Trump’s Win in 2016. Now He’s Ready to Call 2020. Most historians just study the past. But Allan Lichtman has successfully predicted the future. This is professor Allan Lichtman. He’s taught history at American University for almost 50 years. He’s a former […]

Read More

Disenchanted Seniors for Biden

The ad opens with amateur footage of an older, white-haired woman, smiling and chatting with the toddler snuggled in her lap. In a voice-over, a younger woman reminisces about how her grandmother’s home had always been “the safe place.” Then came the coronavirus. “It was difficult to comprehend how quickly everything kind of spiraled downwards,” […]

Read More

Trump Doesn’t Like What He Sees in the Crystal Ball

Bret Stephens: Gail, some of our readers may not know that, in addition to all of your journalism at The Times, you’re also the author of several distinguished works of history. Put on your historian’s hat and tell us what you think of Donald Trump’s tweet suggesting we delay the election. Gail Collins: Bret, I […]

Read More

Trump Forecasts His Own Fraud

This election is in danger of being stolen. By Donald Trump. Trump is a win-at-all-costs kind of operator. For him, the rules are like rubber, not fixed but bendable. All structures — laws, conventions, norms — exist for others, those not slick and sly enough to evade them, those not craven enough to break them. […]

Read More

How Joe Arpaio’s Fate in Arizona Could Be a Window Into Trump’s

PHOENIX — After 24 years of doling out his punitive brand of justice in Arizona’s most populous county, Joe Arpaio, who billed himself as “America’s toughest sheriff,” suffered a landslide defeat in 2016, largely because of his hard-line immigration stances and his own pugnacious defiance, which earned him a criminal conviction for contempt of court. […]

Read More

Kayleigh McEnany Heckles the Press. Is That All?

WASHINGTON — For the first half of his term, President Trump treated the White House press briefing as must-see television. From his small dining room off the Oval Office, he kept close watch over his first two press secretaries as they battled with journalists, defended his performance and often tried to rewrite history. Kayleigh McEnany, […]

Read More

Why Trump’s Blunt Appeals to Suburban Voters May Not Work

ImageThe “Wall of Moms” facing tear gas in Portland, Ore., are one clue that President Trump’s law-and-order message is getting a mixed reception among white suburbanites.Credit…Marcio Jose Sanchez/Associated Press President Trump’s latest campaign ads warn of left-wing mobs destroying American cities. His recent White House comments have depicted a rampage of violence and a “radical […]

Read More

Voting by Mail Is Crucial for Democracy

For a man who votes by mail himself, Donald Trump is strangely obsessed with the idea that it is the most dangerous method of casting a ballot. The president was at it again this week. “Rigged Election,” he tweeted of New York’s well-publicized struggles with counting mail-in votes. “Same thing would happen, but on massive […]

Read More

Voting by Mail Could Save Lives and American Democracy

For a man who votes by mail himself, Donald Trump is strangely obsessed with the idea that it is the most dangerous method of casting a ballot. The president was at it again this week. “Rigged Election,” he tweeted of New York’s well-publicized struggles with counting mail-in votes. “Same thing would happen, but on massive […]

Read More

Will Americans Buy Trump’s Claims About Mail Voting Fraud?

Image Top Republicans were quick to dismiss the suggestion of putting off Election Day — but Democrats went further, calling it evidence that the president would stop at nothing to throw doubt on the validity of an election that he currently appears likely to lose. At this moment of coronavirus-driven insecurity, where do Americans stand […]

Read More

Trump Plays on Racist Fears of Terrorized Suburbs to Court White Voters

WASHINGTON — President Trump vowed on Wednesday to protect suburbanites from low-income housing being built in their neighborhoods, making an appeal to white suburban voters by trying to stir up racist fears about affordable housing and the people who live there. In a tweet and later in remarks during a visit to Texas, Mr. Trump […]

Read More

The Tanned Man Has a Green Monster

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious disease specialist and a leading voice in our battle against Covid-19, has gotten under Donald Trump’s skin. He won’t lie to make Trump look better or cover for the lies Trump tells. He won’t paint a rosy portrait of our prospects during the pandemic or offer excuses for […]

Read More

A Viral Epidemic Splintering Into Deadly Pieces

Once again, the coronavirus is ascendant. As infections mount across the country, it is dawning on Americans that the epidemic is now unstoppable, and that no corner of the nation will be left untouched. As of Tuesday, the pathogen had infected at least 4.3 million Americans, killing almost 150,000. Many experts fear the virus could […]

Read More

A Viral Epidemic Splintering Into Deadly Pieces

Once again, the coronavirus is ascendant. As infections mount across the country, it is dawning on Americans that the epidemic is now unstoppable, and that no corner of the nation will be left untouched. As of Tuesday, the pathogen had infected at least 4.3 million Americans, killing almost 150,000. Many experts fear the virus could […]

Read More

Trump Is Trying to Bend Reality to His Will

Disruption, disorder and disease are gripping the United States as the 2020 election draws near, leading to an unusual degree of unpredictability about our political future. Despite current state and national polling that favors Democrats, we still can’t say for sure whether the nation will tip left or right. “Modern democracies are currently experiencing destabilizing […]

Read More

Trump Is Trying to Bend Reality to His Will

Disruption, disorder and disease are gripping the United States as the 2020 election draws near, leading to an unusual degree of unpredictability about our political future. Despite current state and national polling that favors Democrats, we still can’t say for sure whether the nation will tip left or right. “Modern democracies are currently experiencing destabilizing […]

Read More

Michigan Threatens to Slip From Trump as He Goes Quiet on Airwaves

President Trump’s campaign has quietly receded from the television airwaves in Michigan in recent weeks, shifting money elsewhere as one of the key Midwestern states that powered his surprise victory in 2016 threatens to move more firmly back into the Democratic column in 2020. Michigan began the year with expectations that it would be one […]

Read More

How Local Covid Deaths Are Affecting Vote Choice

On March 18, Donald J. Trump declared himself a wartime president against “the invisible enemy” of coronavirus and invoked the Defense Production Act. Now he’s facing a downside of presiding over a war: American casualties. In the days since that pronouncement, Covid-19 has taken the lives of almost 150,000 Americans, many more than have died […]

Read More

A Trumpless Future Is Hard to Get Your Head Around

Gail Collins: Bret, welcome to our new conversing day. Let’s celebrate by disagreeing. This week Congress is trying to work out a second-stage coronavirus relief program. But the president has been stalling in an attempt to get them to cut payroll taxes. If I remember correctly, you’re a big champion of cutting the tax, which […]

Read More

The Real Reason Biden Is Winning? He’s a Man

A narrative has formed around the presidential race: Donald Trump is losing because he’s botched the current crisis. Americans are desperate for competence and compassion. He’s offered narcissism and division — and he’s paying the political price. For progressives, it’s a satisfying story line, in which Americans finally see Mr. Trump for the inept charlatan […]

Read More

Trump’s Nakedly Political Pandemic Pivot

After mocking people for wearing masks, refusing to publicly wear one himself and holding rallies and gatherings where social distancing was not required, President Trump has shifted his tone. He has canceled his convention activities in Jacksonville, Fla., after moving the events from North Carolina when that state’s governor raised public health concerns about such […]

Read More