Tag: Polling

“We Live More on the Knife’s Edge”: John Sides on the Midterms

Political scientists and journalists watch elections through completely different lenses. Whereas journalists think of key moments and momentum swings, political scientists say pshaw to all that. Elections are about the fundamentals; the “natural political forces,” in the words of John Sides, that history shows are more powerful than ads and debate slipups. Sides is one […]

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Meet the Twentysomething Election Forecasters Who Keep Nate Silver on His Toes

“We don’t want to end up in a place where people did in 2016,” said Jain who, along with Lavelle and Thomas, launched Split Ticket in November 2021. Considine, the team’s only professional pollster, joined in September, after Jain recruited her for her knowledge of the “day to day machinations” of election campaigns that forecasters […]

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Hate May Eke Out a Win Tuesday, but We Are Better Than That

A large number of conservatives believe the lies about voter fraud and a stolen 2020 election. Their fear about “democracy” disturbingly is more about a fear of losing white, Christian culture to the rapidly growing numbers of immigrants from Mexico to Malaysia. Paul Pelosi’s attacker, David DePape, was not only a conspiracy theorist; he stated […]

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Latest Herschel Walker Polls Show Tighter Race Heading Into Georgia Senate Debate Against Warnock

NewsOne Featured Video Source: The Washington Post / Getty Despite a series of bombshell revelations that would typically dismantle any normal political campaign — or, because of it — the race for U.S. Senate in Georgia is as tight as it’s ever been ahead of what is shaping up to be the one and only […]

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Biden approval rebounds slightly amid concerns about economy: poll

President Biden’s approval rating rebounded slightly in a new CNN poll that found lingering concerns among respondents about the state of the economy. The poll found that 44 percent of respondents approved of Biden’s performance as president in September and October, up from the 38 percent who approved in CNN’s last poll over the summer.  […]

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Sen. Raphael Warnock Widens Polling Lead Over Herschel Walker As Bombshell Reports Pour In

NewsOne Featured Video U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) talks to members of the press as he arrives at the U.S. Capitol for a cloture vote on September 27, 2022, in Washington, D.C. | Source: Alex Wong / Getty It has not been a great week for Republican U.S. Senate candidate and aspiring mumble rapper (I’m […]

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Is This When Democrats Finally Learn How to Message?

Add to that the concurring opinion of Clarence Thomas, who wrote that the court “should reconsider” other decisions—including the decriminalization of same-sex relationships; the right to gay marriage; and 1965’s Griswold v. Connecticut, which held that married couples have a right to contraception. The two major parties “do not operate as simple mirror images,” the […]

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Yes, the Polls May Be Wrong Again. But Democrats Have Reasons to Be Optimistic.

But there are tantalizing reasons to suspect these polling numbers aren’t a mirage—that this time, history may take a year off. One of the biggest boons that Republicans received in 2016 and 2020 was Donald Trump’s presence on the ballot: Some voters, it seems, really do only turn out to vote for their guy, a […]

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Joe Biden’s Absent Presidency

Biden appears to be trapped in a vicious cycle. With his approval rating plummeting, he and his advisers appear to be gripped with anxiety that doing anything will only make things worse. And so he says little and does nothing, hoping that voters will blame Republicans for what’s ailing the country—or at least recognize the […]

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