The Supreme Court immunity hearing boosted Trump’s legal strategy

Welcome back, Deadline: Legal Newsletter readers. In a split screen for the ages, the Supreme Court heard Donald Trump’s bid for immunity in one of his criminal cases while he sat on trial in another. The immediate upshot of the high-court hearing in Washington is that the Manhattan trial may be the only criminal one Trump faces before the November election. And depending on how that election goes, it may be the only criminal trial he ever faces.

If Trump has his way, staging coups and ordering murders could be immune from prosecution. Democratic-appointed justices pressed his lawyer, John Sauer, on those hypotheticals at Thursday’s hearing. Incredibly, Sauer said they might qualify as “official acts” that are off-limits for prosecutors. Meanwhile, GOP appointees like Justice Samuel Alito sounded more concerned with presidents facing criminal accountability than with the dangers of presidents committing crimes with impunity.

But even if Trump loses his extreme absolute immunity bid, the Supreme Court might rule that ex-presidents enjoy some level of legal protection. Whatever precise form that immunity takes remains to be seen in the court’s decision. The ruling might not theoretically save Trump from a trial in the federal election interference case, because at least some of the acts described in the indictment couldn’t possibly be deemed “official.” But the delay might help Trump anyway. Further litigation over applying the justices’ new immunity test to Trump’s case could add even more delay to the already-delayed case.

The Washington, D.C., prosecution has been on hold pending the immunity ruling. So the justices’ decision to take up the appeal in the first place, then to not hear it until the last argument day of the term, and now embarking on crafting a historic ruling all point against any trial happening by the election. Of course, if Trump wins that election, his federal cases will be as good as gone, and any state cases (which he can’t pardon) may at least be stalled while he’s in office.

In the trial that’s happening, Manhattan prosecutors gave their opening statement and called their first witness, David Pecker. The former National Enquirer publisher testified that he agreed with then-candidate Trump and fixer Michael Cohen to look out for negative stories impacting the 2016 campaign. Pecker is an important first witness, setting the stage for the Stormy Daniels hush money payoff at the center of the case. Trump is charged with falsifying business records over allegedly covering up the reimbursement of Cohen’s payment to Daniels just ahead of the election. He has pleaded not guilty and denied having sex with the pornographic actress.

Trump’s alleged gag order violations continued to lurk in the background of the trial. His statements against witnesses and jurors have been piling up. Judge Juan Merchan held a hearing Tuesday on some of those alleged violations, with another hearing scheduled for next week based on other statements. But heading into the weekend, Merchan still hasn’t ruled on the matter, so the defendant hasn’t faced even minimal consequences for his apparent serial violations of a court order.

Next week, Trump’s criminal trial continues in its second week of testimony. The Supreme Court, meanwhile, is done with arguments for the term and now has a thick stack of appeals to decide. Beyond Trump’s weighty case, the justices have many crucial disputes to resolve by their unofficial late June deadline on abortion, guns and much more. If they wait until the end to decide Trump v. United States, that will push a pre-election trial in Washington to at least the precipice of the November election, further emphasizing that the defendant is running to stay out of prison.

Have any questions or comments for me? I’d love to hear from you! Please email deadlinelegal@nbcuni.com for a chance to be featured in a future newsletter.

Leave a Reply