The third graph shows the month-to-month comparison for total starts between 2022 (blue) and 2023 (red).
Total starts were down 4.2% in October compared to October 2022. And starts year-to-date are down 11.3% compared to last year.
Starts have been down year-over-year for 16 of the last 18 months (May and July 2023 were the exceptions), and total starts will be down this year – although the year-over-year comparisons are somewhat easier in Q4.