by Calculated Risk on 9/15/2020 09:23:00 AM
From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial production rose 0.4 percent in August for its fourth consecutive monthly increase. However, even after the recent gains, the index in August was 7.3 percent below its pre-pandemic February level. Manufacturing output continued to improve in August, rising 1.0 percent, but the gains for most manufacturing industries have gradually slowed since June. Mining production fell 2.5 percent in August, as Tropical Storm Marco and Hurricane Laura caused sharp but temporary drops in oil and gas extraction and well drilling. The output of utilities moved down 0.4 percent. At 101.4 percent of its 2012 average, the level of total industrial production was 7.7 percent lower in August than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector increased 0.3 percentage point in August to 71.4 percent, a rate that is 8.4 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2019) average but 7.3 percentage points above its low in April.
This graph shows Capacity Utilization. This series is up from the record low set in April, but still well below the level in February 2020.
Capacity utilization at 71.4% is 8.4% below the average from 1972 to 2017.
Note: y-axis doesn’t start at zero to better show the change.
Industrial production increased in August to 101.4. This is 7.2% below the February 2020 level.
The change in industrial production was below consensus expectations, however industrial production in June and July were revised up.