A STUNNING set of graphs have revealed when the coronavirus is predicted to peak in every U.S. state.
The model was created by researchers at the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Metics and focuses on when deaths and hospital resource requirements are expected to peak across the country.
New York, for example, which currently has the highest number of COVID-19 cases, is expected to peak in just nine days, according to the research.
That will result in nearly 800 deaths and 71,000 hospital beds being required, the IHME predicts.
Elsewhere, Florida is not expected to see its peak until May 3, while California is expected to see its peak in late April.
Dr. Ali Mokdad, a professor of Health Metrics Sciences at IHME, told the DailyMail.com that mortality rates were used because the number of those tested were quite low when researches began working on the project.
The professor said: “There wasn’t enough capacity for testing so we didn’t know how many people are positive.”
The results of the study are available on the IHME’s website.
Other metrics measured include the number of beds available state to state, invasive ventilators needed, and how many beds will need to be in the ICU.
Speaking the IMHE’s projections, Dr Deborah Birx of the White House coronavirus task force told Meet The Press on Sunday that no state or metro area would be spared.
Dr. Birx added: “And the sooner that we react and the sooner the states and the metro areas react and ensure that they put in full mitigation at the same time understanding exactly what their hospitals need, then we’ll be able to move forward together and protect the most Americans.”
NO STATE SPARED
Outside of New York, Illinois is another state expected to hit its peak in the coming weeks, when IHME data predicts it will report 88 deaths on April 16.
After New York, Florida is predicted to become the U.S.’s next epicenter.
The data collected by the IHME also projects the total number of deaths, currently running through August.
Florida, IHME data predicts, will see 6,766 by that date, while New York, which has already seen more than 1,000 die of virus, is expected to see 15,546.
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In Washington State, where the first COVID-19 case was reported in the U.S., the peak number of deaths in a given day is expected to be 29, on April 24.
Virginia is predicted to be one of the later-peaking states, seeing its highest death count on May 17, IHME predicts.
And despite being the last state to report a case of COVID-19, West Virginia is expected to see its peak of resource use as soon as May 1, when 1665 beds and 251 ICU beds will be needed.
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