Bracketology: The bubble needs an overhaul

Here is the latest NCAA tournament bracketology projection.

It’s been an interesting week for Bubble teams.  Texas Tech, Virginia and Mississippi State posted key wins.  Many others lost; some to good opponents and others to not-so-strong opponents.  Amid the chaos, a deep dive was required, with more than twenty team resumes parceled apart, trying to separate nuances.

The result?

About what you would expect – a quagmire of mediocrity with some good, some bad, and a whole lot of average.  Ten people, such as the Selection Committee, could view the same material and develop different responses as to how teams might be placed on the Seed List.  Not so sure about today’s outcome?  Wait until Monday.

It was a particularly rough week for Stanford, which lost at California on Sunday and at home last night to Oregon State.  Those results leave the Cardinal without a Quad 1 win and two Quad 3 losses.  And with just three Quad 2 wins (only one of which is in today’s bracket) Stanford’s light resume became even lighter.  Every year we have a team whose NET rating doesn’t seem to match its profile.  For now, Stanford fits that bill.

The latest look at where our NCAA tournament bracketology projection stands …

UPDATED: January 31, 2020

FIRST FOUR – DAYTON

WEST REGION

NC State vs. Alabama

EAST REGION

Virginia vs. Mississippi State

SOUTH REGION

 ROBERT MORRIS vs. NORFOLK ST

MIDWEST REGION

MONMOUTH vs. PR VIEW A&M

SOUTH Houston

WEST – Los Angeles                         

Omaha

Spokane

1) BAYLOR

1) GONZAGA

16) ROB MORRIS / NORFOLK ST

16) UC-IRVINE

8) Wichita State

8) Indiana

9) Arkansas

9) Texas Tech 

St. Louis

Sacramento

5) Creighton

5) Iowa

12) EAST TENNESSEE ST

12) S.F. AUSTIN

4) Kentucky

4) Butler

13) NORTH TEXAS

13) NEW MEXICO ST

Tampa

Greensboro

6) Illinois

6) Arizona

11) Rhode Island

11) NC State / Alabama

3) Florida State

3) Maryland

14) LITTLE ROCK

14) WRIGHT STATE

Albany

Spokane

7) Colorado

7) HOUSTON

10) Memphis

10) Wisconsin

2) Villanova

2) OREGON

15) WINTHROP

15) SOUTH DAKOTA ST

EAST – New York

MIDWEST – Indianapolis

Sacramento

Omaha

1) SAN DIEGO STATE

1) Kansas

16) E. WASHINGTON

16) MONMOUTH / PV A&M

8) Ohio State

8) Saint Mary’s

9) Oklahoma

9) Michigan

Tampa

Cleveland

5) Penn State

5) LSU

12) Virginia / Mississippi St

12) YALE

4) West Virginia

4) DAYTON

13) VERMONT

13) LIBERTY

Greensboro

Cleveland

6) Rutgers

6) Auburn

11) VCU

11) NORTHERN IOWA

3) Duke

3) MICHIGAN STATE

14) BOWLING GREEN

14) COLGATE

Albany

St. Louis

7) USC

7) Marquette

10) Florida

10) BYU

2) SETON HALL

2) LOUISVILLE

15) WILLIAM & MARY

15) AUSTIN PEAY

BUBBLE NOTES

Last 4 Byes

Last 4 IN     

First 4 OUT

Next 4 OUT

Memphis

Virginia

Stanford

Georgetown

Florida

NC State

Arizona State

Virginia Tech

VCU

Alabama

St. John’s

Richmond

Rhode Island

Mississippi State

DePaul

Xavier

Top Seed Line
Baylor, Gonzaga, Kansas, San Diego State
Seed List

Breakdown by Conference …
Big Ten (10)
SEC (7)
Big East (5)
ACC (5)
Big 12 (5)
Pac 12 (4)
American (3)

West Coast (3)
Atlantic 10 (3)
Mountain West (1)

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